- Democrats: 51.0%+2Republicans: 49.0%, Independent: 1.0%
- Republicans: 51.0%+2Democrats: 49.0%
- 49: 21.0%+350: 18.0%, fewer: 17.0%
Election Forecasting Odds
- DEM85.3%
- GOP17.4%
- GOP51.0%
- DEM49.0%
- Newsom29.9%
- AOC11.5%
- Harris7.7%
- Ossoff7.5%
- Shapiro6.8%
- Beshear6.5%
- Buttigieg4.8%
- Whitmer4.5%
- Pritzker4.1%
- Moore3.2%
- Vance40.0%
- Rubio26.4%
- Youngkin5.7%
- Trump5.0%
- DeSantis4.4%
- Kemp2.8%
- Gabbard2.3%
- Haley1.4%
- Trump Jr.0.0%
- Vance22.0%
- Newsom20.1%
- Rubio12.4%
- AOC6.1%
- Harris3.3%
- Shapiro3.2%
- Trump2.8%
- Buttigieg2.5%
- Whitmer2.2%
- DeSantis1.7%
President Markets
- Vance: 45.0%+18Rubio: 27.0%, Kemp: 5.0%
- Vance: 19.4%+0.5Newsom: 18.9%, Rubio: 12.2%
- Vance: 23.6%+3.8Newsom: 19.8%, Rubio: 12.8%
Senate Markets
- Republicans: 96.0%+93Democrats: 3.0%
- Democrats: 51.0%+2Republicans: 49.0%, Independent: 1.0%
- President: 58.0%+13Senate: 45.0%
House Markets
- Democrats: 78.0%+58Republicans: 20.0%
- Democrats: 93.0%+58Republicans: 35.0%
- Democrats: 63.0%+48Republicans: 15.0%
Governor Markets
- Bennet: 83.0%+62Weiser: 21.0%
- Kirkmeyer: 50.0%+30Bottoms: 20.0%, Baisley: 2.0%
- Donalds: 89.0%+81Fishback: 8.0%, Collins: 4.0%
General Markets
- Democrats: 56.8%+15.7Republicans: 41.1%, Other: 1.9%
- Vance: 20.0%+0.4Newsom: 19.6%, Rubio: 12.8%
- Republicans: 95.0%+87Democrats: 8.0%
International Markets
- Philippe: 17.5%+1.9Pen: 15.6%, Mélenchon: 13.8%
- No: 82.0%+55.7Yes: 26.3%
- Female: 60.2%+9.9Male: 50.3%