US Political Odds

Political events forecasting and analysis from top prediction markets

2026 US Senate Control

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View full Senate 2026 odds
  • Newsom
    25.0%
  • AOC
    11.3%
  • Harris
    9.3%
  • Ossoff
    7.5%
  • Shapiro
    5.5%
  • Buttigieg
    4.7%
  • Beshear
    4.1%
  • Pritzker
    3.2%
  • Whitmer
    2.2%
  • Moore
    1.7%
  • Vance
    36.7%
  • Rubio
    28.1%
  • DeSantis
    4.9%
  • Trump
    3.3%
  • Youngkin
    1.9%
  • Kemp
    1.9%
  • Gabbard
    0.8%
  • Haley
    0.8%
  • Trump Jr.
    0.0%
  • Vance
    19.2%
  • Newsom
    17.7%
  • Rubio
    15.2%
  • AOC
    6.5%
  • Harris
    4.3%
  • Shapiro
    3.3%
  • Trump
    3.2%
  • Buttigieg
    2.9%
  • DeSantis
    2.9%
  • Whitmer
    1.5%

Latest Articles

President Markets

Vance+2047.0%
Rubio27.0%
Kemp5.0%
Newsom+0.918.0%
Vance17.1%
Rubio10.1%

Senate Markets

Republicans+90.496.0%
Democrats5.6%
Democrats+2061.0%
Republicans41.0%
Republicans+89.593.9%
Democrats4.4%

House Markets

Democrats+5779.0%
Republicans22.0%
Democrats+8692.0%
Republicans6.0%
Democrats+3872.0%
Republicans34.0%

Governor Markets

General Markets

France+1.918.4%
Spain16.5%
England11.0%
Democrats+20.159.0%
Republicans38.9%
Other2.3%
Newsom+118.5%
Vance17.5%
Rubio10.6%

International Markets