2028 Presidential Election Winner

Smarkets

Latest Odds

JD Vance
26.47%
Gavin Newsom
19.23%
Marco Rubio
10.20%
SmarketsMay 10th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
May 9th 2026JD Vance26.41%
Gavin Newsom19.23%
Marco Rubio10.42%
May 8th 2026JD Vance26.41%
Gavin Newsom19.23%
Marco Rubio10.42%
May 7th 2026JD Vance26.47%
Gavin Newsom19.42%
Marco Rubio9.52%
May 6th 2026JD Vance26.47%
Gavin Newsom19.42%
Marco Rubio8.52%
May 5th 2026JD Vance24.31%
Gavin Newsom19.24%
Marco Rubio8.90%
May 4th 2026JD Vance25.23%
Gavin Newsom19.24%
Marco Rubio9.31%
May 3rd 2026JD Vance25.43%
Gavin Newsom19.61%
Marco Rubio9.31%
May 2nd 2026JD Vance24.70%
Gavin Newsom19.42%
Marco Rubio9.09%
May 1st 2026JD Vance25.65%
Gavin Newsom19.61%
Marco Rubio9.09%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM77¢
+53.3vs GOP
Senate
GOP58¢
+15.7vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance17¢
+1.3vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom24¢
+12.6vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance34¢
+7.4vs Rubio
View All Markets →
2028 Presidential Election Winner