2028 Presidential Election Winner

Smarkets

Latest Odds

JD Vance
23.86%
Gavin Newsom
19.05%
Marco Rubio
9.52%
SmarketsMarch 5th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
March 4th 2026JD Vance23.86%
Gavin Newsom18.87%
Marco Rubio9.76%
March 3rd 2026JD Vance24.18%
Gavin Newsom17.26%
AOC7.30%
March 2nd 2026JD Vance24.18%
Gavin Newsom17.86%
AOC7.63%
March 1st 2026JD Vance24.18%
Gavin Newsom17.24%
AOC8.51%
February 28th 2026JD Vance26.76%
Gavin Newsom17.86%
AOC8.51%
February 27th 2026JD Vance24.68%
Gavin Newsom18.02%
AOC7.30%
February 26th 2026JD Vance26.94%
Gavin Newsom19.23%
AOC8.25%
February 25th 2026JD Vance26.76%
Gavin Newsom19.23%
AOC8.17%
February 24th 2026JD Vance26.76%
Gavin Newsom19.61%
AOC8.03%
📊ODDS SNAPSHOT
2026Midterms
House
DEM83¢
+62.1vs GOP
Senate
GOP58¢
+15.0vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance22¢
+3.0vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom30¢
+17.4vs Harris
GOP Nom
Vance45¢
+20.5vs Rubio
View All Markets →
2028 Presidential Election Winner