2028 Presidential Election Winner

Smarkets

Latest Odds

JD Vance
24.18%
Gavin Newsom
17.24%
AOC
8.51%
SmarketsMarch 1st 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
February 28th 2026JD Vance26.76%
Gavin Newsom17.86%
AOC8.51%
February 27th 2026JD Vance24.68%
Gavin Newsom18.02%
AOC7.30%
February 26th 2026JD Vance26.94%
Gavin Newsom19.23%
AOC8.25%
February 25th 2026JD Vance26.76%
Gavin Newsom19.23%
AOC8.17%
February 24th 2026JD Vance26.76%
Gavin Newsom19.61%
AOC8.03%
February 23rd 2026JD Vance25.04%
Gavin Newsom19.81%
AOC8.03%
February 22nd 2026JD Vance26.94%
Gavin Newsom20.00%
AOC8.03%
February 21st 2026JD Vance26.94%
Gavin Newsom19.61%
AOC7.97%
February 20th 2026JD Vance26.94%
Gavin Newsom19.61%
AOC7.97%
📊ODDS SNAPSHOT
2026Midterms
House
DEM83¢
+61.1vs GOP
Senate
GOP60¢
+17.5vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance23¢
+4.1vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom30¢
+19.1vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance47¢
+20.1vs Rubio
View All Markets →
2028 Presidential Election Winner