2028 Presidential Election Winner

Smarkets

Latest Odds

JD Vance
27.92%
Gavin Newsom
18.70%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8.62%
SmarketsJanuary 15th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
January 14th 2026JD Vance27.92%
Gavin Newsom18.87%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8.62%
January 13th 2026JD Vance27.92%
Gavin Newsom18.70%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8.62%
January 12th 2026JD Vance28.45%
Gavin Newsom18.70%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8.93%
January 11th 2026JD Vance28.32%
Gavin Newsom18.70%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8.93%
January 10th 2026JD Vance28.32%
Gavin Newsom18.52%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8.62%
January 9th 2026JD Vance28.32%
Gavin Newsom18.52%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8.62%
January 8th 2026JD Vance28.58%
Gavin Newsom18.52%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8.93%
January 7th 2026JD Vance28.58%
Gavin Newsom18.52%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8.93%
January 6th 2026JD Vance29.14%
Gavin Newsom18.52%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8.85%
📊ODDS SNAPSHOT
2026Midterms
House
DEM79¢
+55.5vs GOP
Senate
GOP68¢
+35.0vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance28¢
+8.2vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom35¢
+24.0vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance52¢
+36.2vs Rubio
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