2027 French Presidential Election Winner

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Édouard Philippe
18.52%
Marine Le Pen
16.95%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
11.90%
SmarketsJanuary 15th 2026

The 2027 French presidential election is set to be a defining moment for a country still navigating the political realignment that began during Emmanuel Macron’s presidency. With traditional parties weakened and voter loyalties increasingly fluid, the race is expected to feature a mix of centrist, far‑right, and left‑wing contenders all vying to shape France’s next chapter. Debates over economic reform, immigration, national identity, and France’s role in Europe are likely to dominate the campaign. As the April 2027 vote approaches, the field remains open and the political landscape unusually volatile, setting the stage for one of the most unpredictable elections in recent French history.

Ai Sumamry

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
January 14th 2026Jordan Bardella74.50%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37.50%
Marion Maréchal37.50%
January 13th 2026Jordan Bardella74.50%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37.50%
Marion Maréchal37.50%
January 12th 2026Jordan Bardella74.50%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37.50%
Marion Maréchal37.50%
January 11th 2026Jordan Bardella74.50%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37.50%
Marion Maréchal37.50%
January 10th 2026Jordan Bardella74.50%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37.50%
Marion Maréchal37.50%
January 9th 2026Jordan Bardella74.50%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37.50%
Marion Maréchal37.50%
January 8th 2026Jordan Bardella74.50%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37.50%
Marion Maréchal37.50%
January 7th 2026Jordan Bardella74.50%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37.50%
Marion Maréchal37.50%
January 6th 2026Jordan Bardella74.50%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37.50%
Marion Maréchal37.50%