Latest Odds
Donald Trump has confirmed that he has chosen his nominee for the next Federal Reserve chair but has not yet revealed the name, keeping markets and policymakers waiting. The decision comes as Jerome Powell’s term ends in May 2026, and the shortlist reportedly includes Kevin Hassett, Kevin Warsh, and Christopher Waller.
**A formal announcement is expected before or after Trump’s trip to Davos (Jan. 19–23)
**Once named, the nominee will face Senate confirmation and immediate scrutiny over how they’ll handle inflation, growth, and political pressure
Ai Summary
Historical Data
| Date | Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| January 14th 2026 | Kevin Warsh | 41.00% |
| Kevin Hassett | 36.00% | |
| Christopher Waller | 10.00% | |
| January 13th 2026 | Kevin Hassett | 41.00% |
| Kevin Warsh | 40.00% | |
| Rick Rieder | 9.00% | |
| January 12th 2026 | Kevin Hassett | 43.00% |
| Kevin Warsh | 42.00% | |
| Christopher Waller | 11.00% | |
| January 11th 2026 | Kevin Warsh | 45.00% |
| Kevin Hassett | 40.00% | |
| Christopher Waller | 11.00% | |
| January 10th 2026 | Kevin Warsh | 41.00% |
| Kevin Hassett | 41.00% | |
| Christopher Waller | 12.00% | |
| January 9th 2026 | Kevin Warsh | 41.00% |
| Kevin Hassett | 38.00% | |
| Christopher Waller | 12.00% | |
| January 8th 2026 | Kevin Hassett | 43.00% |
| Kevin Warsh | 40.00% | |
| Christopher Waller | 12.00% | |
| January 7th 2026 | Kevin Hassett | 43.00% |
| Kevin Warsh | 40.00% | |
| Christopher Waller | 12.00% | |
| January 6th 2026 | Kevin Hassett | 42.00% |
| Kevin Warsh | 41.00% | |
| Christopher Waller | 13.00% |