2026 Texas Senate winner?

Kalshi

Latest Odds

Ken Paxton
60.00%
James Talarico
42.00%
KalshiMay 31st 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
May 30th 2026Ken Paxton60.00%
James Talarico42.00%
May 29th 2026Ken Paxton62.00%
James Talarico40.00%
May 28th 2026Ken Paxton61.00%
James Talarico41.00%
May 27th 2026Ken Paxton57.00%
James Talarico45.00%
May 26th 2026Republicans55.00%
James Talarico46.00%
May 25th 2026Republicans56.00%
James Talarico46.00%
May 24th 2026Republicans59.00%
James Talarico42.00%
May 23rd 2026Republicans60.00%
James Talarico42.00%
May 22nd 2026Republicans56.00%
James Talarico45.00%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM75¢
+50.7vs GOP
Senate
GOP56¢
+12.7vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance20¢
+2.2vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom24¢
+12.6vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance35¢
+6.9vs Rubio
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2026 Texas Senate winner?