Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Yes
16.43%
SmarketsApril 18th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
April 17th 2026Yes14.29%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM87¢
+71.7vs GOP
Senate
DEM53¢
+4.5vs GOP
2028Presidential
President
Vance21¢
+1.8vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom29¢
+18.0vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance39¢
+14.6vs Rubio
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Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?