Liberal Democrat Vote Share

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Under 5.00%
60.24%
Over 5.00%
45.46%
SmarketsFebruary 26th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
February 25th 2026Under 5.00%56.50%
Over 5.00%49.02%
📊ODDS SNAPSHOT
2026Midterms
House
DEM83¢
+61.1vs GOP
Senate
GOP60¢
+17.5vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance23¢
+4.1vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom30¢
+19.1vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance47¢
+20.1vs Rubio
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Liberal Democrat Vote Share