Kate Hoey to Defect to Reform before May 7 2026

Smarkets

Latest Odds

No
80.01%
Yes
35.58%
SmarketsApril 15th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
April 14th 2026No74.63%
Yes37.26%
April 13th 2026No64.63%
Yes45.87%
April 12th 2026No81.31%
Yes30.31%
April 11th 2026No81.31%
Yes30.31%
April 10th 2026No78.74%
Yes32.27%
April 9th 2026No78.13%
Yes33.23%
April 8th 2026No77.52%
Yes33.56%
April 7th 2026No77.52%
Yes31.66%
April 6th 2026No74.63%
Yes35.91%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM88¢
+72.0vs GOP
Senate
DEM54¢
+8.5vs GOP
2028Presidential
President
Vance21¢
+1.9vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom28¢
+17.4vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance40¢
+14.8vs Rubio
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Kate Hoey to Defect to Reform before May 7 2026