Next Chancellor - Pat McFadden

Smarkets

Latest Odds

No
82.65%
Yes
28.99%
SmarketsMay 9th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
May 8th 2026No82.65%
Yes28.99%
May 7th 2026No82.65%
Yes28.99%
May 6th 2026No82.65%
Yes28.99%
May 5th 2026No82.65%
Yes28.99%
May 4th 2026No82.65%
Yes28.99%
May 3rd 2026No82.65%
Yes28.99%
May 2nd 2026No82.65%
Yes28.99%
May 1st 2026No82.65%
Yes28.99%
April 30th 2026No82.65%
Yes28.99%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM77¢
+53.3vs GOP
Senate
GOP58¢
+15.7vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance17¢
+1.3vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom24¢
+12.6vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance34¢
+7.4vs Rubio
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Next Chancellor - Pat McFadden