Party to Provide the Next Prime Minister of Australia

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Labor
65.36%
Coalition
28.57%
Any Other Result
10.53%
SmarketsMarch 1st 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
February 28th 2026Labor65.36%
Coalition28.57%
Any Other Result10.64%
February 27th 2026Labor65.36%
Coalition28.57%
Any Other Result10.42%
February 26th 2026Labor65.79%
Coalition28.57%
Any Other Result10.64%
February 25th 2026Labor64.94%
Coalition30.77%
Any Other Result10.20%
February 24th 2026Labor65.57%
Coalition31.25%
Any Other Result10.20%
February 23rd 2026Labor66.23%
Coalition31.75%
Any Other Result9.52%
February 22nd 2026Labor66.23%
Coalition31.75%
Any Other Result9.52%
February 21st 2026Labor66.23%
Coalition29.85%
Any Other Result8.70%
February 20th 2026Labor66.67%
Coalition29.85%
Any Other Result8.70%
📊ODDS SNAPSHOT
2026Midterms
House
DEM83¢
+61.1vs GOP
Senate
GOP60¢
+17.5vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance23¢
+4.1vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom30¢
+19.1vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance47¢
+20.1vs Rubio
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Party to Provide the Next Prime Minister of Australia