Party to Provide the Next Prime Minister of Australia

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Labor
63.49%
Coalition
27.78%
Any Other Result
14.09%
SmarketsApril 15th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
April 14th 2026Labor63.29%
Coalition27.78%
Any Other Result14.09%
April 13th 2026Labor64.24%
Coalition28.31%
Any Other Result13.90%
April 12th 2026Labor64.24%
Coalition28.19%
Any Other Result13.90%
April 11th 2026Labor64.24%
Coalition28.19%
Any Other Result14.09%
April 10th 2026Labor64.24%
Coalition28.19%
Any Other Result14.09%
April 9th 2026Labor64.52%
Coalition28.31%
Any Other Result14.29%
April 8th 2026Labor64.73%
Coalition28.39%
Any Other Result13.70%
April 7th 2026Labor63.90%
Coalition28.39%
Any Other Result13.70%
April 6th 2026Labor63.90%
Coalition28.39%
Any Other Result13.70%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM88¢
+72.0vs GOP
Senate
DEM54¢
+8.5vs GOP
2028Presidential
President
Vance21¢
+1.9vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom28¢
+17.4vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance40¢
+14.8vs Rubio
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Party to Provide the Next Prime Minister of Australia