Party to Provide the Next Prime Minister of Australia

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Labor
66.23%
Coalition
28.37%
Any Other Result
11.90%
SmarketsMay 9th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
May 8th 2026Labor64.94%
Coalition28.57%
Any Other Result11.63%
May 7th 2026Labor63.90%
Coalition28.99%
Any Other Result11.63%
May 6th 2026Labor65.10%
Coalition29.42%
Any Other Result11.77%
May 5th 2026Labor65.60%
Coalition29.42%
Any Other Result11.77%
May 4th 2026Labor65.60%
Coalition29.42%
Any Other Result11.77%
May 3rd 2026Labor65.60%
Coalition29.42%
Any Other Result11.77%
May 2nd 2026Labor65.81%
Coalition29.42%
Any Other Result11.77%
May 1st 2026Labor65.81%
Coalition29.42%
Any Other Result11.77%
April 30th 2026Labor65.80%
Coalition29.42%
Any Other Result11.63%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM76¢
+51.0vs GOP
Senate
GOP57¢
+13.0vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance19¢
+2.0vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom24¢
+12.7vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance34¢
+5.9vs Rubio
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Party to Provide the Next Prime Minister of Australia