2026 Presidential Election Winner

Smarkets

Latest Odds

António José Seguro
70.42%
João Cotrim de Figueiredo
26.67%
Luís Marques Mendes
15.15%
SmarketsJanuary 15th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
January 14th 2026António José Seguro73.59%
João Cotrim de Figueiredo25.48%
André Ventura8.70%
January 13th 2026António José Seguro51.99%
João Cotrim de Figueiredo42.74%
Henrique Gouveia e Melo30.77%
January 12th 2026António José Seguro68.50%
João Cotrim de Figueiredo43.10%
Henrique Gouveia e Melo32.26%
January 11th 2026João Cotrim de Figueiredo75.76%
Luís Marques Mendes57.39%
António José Seguro46.73%
January 10th 2026Luís Marques Mendes47.63%
António José Seguro39.68%
João Cotrim de Figueiredo25.97%
January 9th 2026Luís Marques Mendes45.05%
João Cotrim de Figueiredo34.25%
António José Seguro32.27%
📊ODDS SNAPSHOT
2026Midterms
House
DEM79¢
+55.5vs GOP
Senate
GOP68¢
+35.0vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance28¢
+8.2vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom35¢
+24.0vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance52¢
+36.2vs Rubio
View All Markets →