Which Party Will Win the Greatest Number of Seats in the Welsh Assembly?

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Plaid Cymru
76.34%
Conservative
51.81%
Liberal Democrats
51.81%
SmarketsMarch 4th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
March 3rd 2026Plaid Cymru73.82%
Liberal Democrats51.28%
Reform UK33.44%
March 2nd 2026Plaid Cymru73.82%
Liberal Democrats51.28%
Reform UK33.56%
March 1st 2026Plaid Cymru72.46%
Liberal Democrats51.28%
Reform UK33.56%
February 28th 2026Plaid Cymru78.12%
Liberal Democrats51.81%
Reform UK34.01%
February 27th 2026Plaid Cymru78.74%
Liberal Democrats51.54%
Reform UK34.01%
February 26th 2026Plaid Cymru74.63%
Liberal Democrats51.81%
Reform UK34.01%
February 25th 2026Plaid Cymru78.12%
Liberal Democrats51.81%
Reform UK33.78%
February 24th 2026Plaid Cymru75.76%
Liberal Democrats51.28%
Reform UK32.79%
February 23rd 2026Plaid Cymru69.21%
Reform UK34.60%
Conservative27.40%
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Which Party Will Win the Greatest Number of Seats in the Welsh Assembly?