Next Prime Minister To Replace Keir Starmer

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Angela Rayner
33.43%
Nigel Farage
17.58%
Ed Miliband
9.31%
SmarketsApril 15th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
April 14th 2026Angela Rayner39.03%
Nigel Farage22.06%
Andy Burnham8.90%
April 13th 2026Angela Rayner34.44%
Nigel Farage21.99%
Ed Miliband9.31%
April 12th 2026Angela Rayner36.25%
Nigel Farage15.64%
Ed Miliband9.31%
April 11th 2026Angela Rayner36.25%
Nigel Farage22.13%
Ed Miliband9.52%
April 10th 2026Angela Rayner39.46%
Nigel Farage16.23%
Ed Miliband9.52%
April 9th 2026Angela Rayner35.97%
Nigel Farage22.06%
Ed Miliband9.09%
April 8th 2026Angela Rayner39.46%
Nigel Farage22.06%
Ed Miliband9.09%
April 7th 2026Angela Rayner35.97%
Nigel Farage19.04%
Ed Miliband9.09%
April 6th 2026Angela Rayner35.83%
Nigel Farage19.04%
Ed Miliband9.09%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM88¢
+72.0vs GOP
Senate
DEM54¢
+8.5vs GOP
2028Presidential
President
Vance21¢
+1.9vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom28¢
+17.4vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance40¢
+14.8vs Rubio
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Next Prime Minister To Replace Keir Starmer