Next Prime Minister To Replace Keir Starmer

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Lucy Powell
50.00%
Zack Polanski
50.00%
David Lammy
44.12%
SmarketsMay 9th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
May 8th 2026Lucy Powell50.00%
David Lammy45.15%
Andy Burnham30.68%
May 7th 2026Lucy Powell50.00%
David Lammy46.31%
Angela Rayner27.75%
May 6th 2026Lucy Powell50.00%
David Lammy46.31%
Angela Rayner29.67%
May 5th 2026Lucy Powell50.00%
David Lammy46.31%
Angela Rayner28.33%
May 4th 2026Lucy Powell50.00%
David Lammy46.31%
Angela Rayner28.67%
May 3rd 2026Lucy Powell50.00%
David Lammy46.31%
Angela Rayner29.04%
May 2nd 2026Lucy Powell50.00%
David Lammy47.72%
Angela Rayner28.86%
May 1st 2026Lucy Powell50.00%
David Lammy47.72%
Angela Rayner29.42%
April 30th 2026Lucy Powell50.00%
David Lammy47.72%
Angela Rayner40.13%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM77¢
+53.3vs GOP
Senate
GOP58¢
+15.7vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance17¢
+1.3vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom24¢
+12.6vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance34¢
+7.4vs Rubio
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Next Prime Minister To Replace Keir Starmer