Next Prime Minister To Replace Keir Starmer

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Angela Rayner
34.76%
Nigel Farage
21.83%
Wes Streeting
11.16%
SmarketsApril 18th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
April 17th 2026Angela Rayner36.25%
Nigel Farage21.69%
Ed Miliband9.31%
April 16th 2026Angela Rayner32.77%
Nigel Farage19.61%
Ed Miliband8.90%
April 15th 2026Angela Rayner33.43%
Nigel Farage17.58%
Ed Miliband9.31%
April 14th 2026Angela Rayner39.03%
Nigel Farage22.06%
Andy Burnham8.90%
April 13th 2026Angela Rayner34.44%
Nigel Farage21.99%
Ed Miliband9.31%
April 12th 2026Angela Rayner36.25%
Nigel Farage15.64%
Ed Miliband9.31%
April 11th 2026Angela Rayner36.25%
Nigel Farage22.13%
Ed Miliband9.52%
April 10th 2026Angela Rayner39.46%
Nigel Farage16.23%
Ed Miliband9.52%
April 9th 2026Angela Rayner35.97%
Nigel Farage22.06%
Ed Miliband9.09%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM87¢
+71.7vs GOP
Senate
DEM53¢
+4.5vs GOP
2028Presidential
President
Vance21¢
+1.8vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom29¢
+18.0vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance39¢
+14.6vs Rubio
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Next Prime Minister To Replace Keir Starmer