Republican Presidential Nominee

Smarkets

Latest Odds

JD Vance
43.86%
Marco Rubio
26.23%
Tom Cotton
22.22%
SmarketsApril 18th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
April 17th 2026JD Vance44.06%
Marco Rubio26.23%
Tom Cotton22.22%
April 16th 2026JD Vance44.06%
Marco Rubio26.23%
Tom Cotton22.22%
April 15th 2026JD Vance44.25%
Marco Rubio26.01%
Tom Cotton22.22%
April 14th 2026JD Vance44.25%
Marco Rubio26.01%
Tom Cotton22.22%
April 13th 2026JD Vance46.31%
Marco Rubio26.22%
Mike Braun13.26%
April 12th 2026JD Vance46.31%
Marco Rubio26.22%
Mike Braun13.26%
April 11th 2026JD Vance46.31%
Marco Rubio26.22%
Mike Braun13.26%
April 10th 2026JD Vance46.31%
Marco Rubio26.22%
Mike Braun13.26%
April 9th 2026Tucker Carlson98.04%
JD Vance47.17%
Marco Rubio26.22%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM87¢
+71.7vs GOP
Senate
DEM53¢
+4.5vs GOP
2028Presidential
President
Vance21¢
+1.8vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom29¢
+18.0vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance39¢
+14.6vs Rubio
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Republican Presidential Nominee