Republican Presidential Nominee

Smarkets

Latest Odds

JD Vance
42.59%
Marco Rubio
24.70%
Tom Cotton
22.22%
SmarketsMay 10th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
May 9th 2026JD Vance41.72%
Marco Rubio25.42%
Tom Cotton22.22%
May 8th 2026JD Vance42.09%
Marco Rubio24.88%
Mike Braun13.26%
May 7th 2026JD Vance42.42%
Marco Rubio24.39%
Tom Cotton22.22%
May 6th 2026JD Vance42.58%
Marco Rubio23.66%
Tom Cotton22.22%
May 5th 2026JD Vance42.83%
Marco Rubio23.66%
Tom Cotton22.22%
May 4th 2026JD Vance42.83%
Marco Rubio23.66%
Tom Cotton22.22%
May 3rd 2026JD Vance42.83%
Marco Rubio23.66%
Tom Cotton22.22%
May 2nd 2026JD Vance42.83%
Marco Rubio23.66%
Mike Braun13.26%
May 1st 2026JD Vance43.12%
Marco Rubio23.66%
Mike Braun13.26%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM77¢
+53.3vs GOP
Senate
GOP58¢
+15.7vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance17¢
+1.3vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom24¢
+12.6vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance34¢
+7.4vs Rubio
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Republican Presidential Nominee