Democratic Presidential Nominee

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Gavin Newsom
37.59%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
12.50%
Andy Beshear
10.00%
SmarketsJanuary 15th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
January 14th 2026Gavin Newsom38.32%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12.50%
Michelle Obama10.00%
January 13th 2026Gavin Newsom38.86%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12.50%
Bob Iger10.00%
January 12th 2026Gavin Newsom38.86%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12.50%
Michelle Obama10.00%
January 11th 2026Gavin Newsom38.76%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12.50%
Andy Beshear10.00%
January 10th 2026Gavin Newsom38.76%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12.50%
Bob Iger10.00%
January 9th 2026Gavin Newsom38.76%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12.50%
Bob Iger10.00%
January 8th 2026Gavin Newsom39.06%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12.50%
Andy Beshear9.52%
January 7th 2026Gavin Newsom38.32%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12.83%
Andy Beshear10.00%
January 6th 2026Gavin Newsom38.19%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13.90%
Bernie Sanders9.55%
📊ODDS SNAPSHOT
2026Midterms
House
DEM79¢
+55.5vs GOP
Senate
GOP68¢
+35.0vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance28¢
+8.2vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom35¢
+24.0vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance52¢
+36.2vs Rubio
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