Democratic Presidential Nominee

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Gavin Newsom
33.23%
Kamala Harris
20.00%
AOC
12.05%
SmarketsMarch 4th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
March 3rd 2026Gavin Newsom32.26%
AOC12.05%
Elizabeth Warren10.00%
March 2nd 2026Gavin Newsom32.79%
AOC12.05%
Bob Iger9.76%
March 1st 2026Gavin Newsom33.33%
AOC12.05%
Bob Iger9.76%
February 28th 2026Gavin Newsom32.26%
AOC12.05%
Michelle Obama9.76%
February 27th 2026Gavin Newsom32.46%
AOC11.36%
Jon Ossoff10.00%
February 26th 2026Gavin Newsom33.33%
AOC11.11%
Jon Ossoff10.00%
February 25th 2026Gavin Newsom33.33%
AOC11.11%
Bob Iger10.00%
February 24th 2026Gavin Newsom34.72%
AOC10.64%
Jon Ossoff10.00%
February 23rd 2026Gavin Newsom34.72%
AOC10.64%
Bob Iger10.00%
📊ODDS SNAPSHOT
2026Midterms
House
DEM83¢
+62.1vs GOP
Senate
GOP57¢
+12.5vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance22¢
+2.9vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom30¢
+18.8vs Harris
GOP Nom
Vance46¢
+21.3vs Rubio
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Democratic Presidential Nominee