Democratic Presidential Nominee

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Gavin Newsom
31.01%
AOC
12.20%
Jamie Raskin
9.09%
SmarketsMay 10th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
May 9th 2026Gavin Newsom30.77%
AOC11.90%
Pete Buttigieg11.63%
May 8th 2026Gavin Newsom30.77%
AOC11.90%
Pete Buttigieg11.63%
May 7th 2026Gavin Newsom30.77%
AOC11.90%
Pete Buttigieg11.63%
May 6th 2026Gavin Newsom31.25%
AOC12.20%
Pete Buttigieg11.63%
May 5th 2026Gavin Newsom31.25%
Elizabeth Warren25.00%
AOC12.20%
May 4th 2026Gavin Newsom31.01%
AOC12.20%
Pete Buttigieg11.63%
May 3rd 2026Gavin Newsom31.01%
AOC12.20%
Pete Buttigieg11.63%
May 2nd 2026Gavin Newsom31.01%
AOC12.20%
Pete Buttigieg9.76%
May 1st 2026Gavin Newsom31.01%
AOC12.20%
Pete Buttigieg9.76%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM77¢
+53.3vs GOP
Senate
GOP58¢
+15.7vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance17¢
+1.3vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom24¢
+12.6vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance34¢
+7.4vs Rubio
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Democratic Presidential Nominee