Next General Election Conservative Leader - Kemi Badenoch

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Yes
67.95%
No
43.11%
SmarketsMay 9th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
May 8th 2026Yes63.36%
No51.55%
May 7th 2026Yes56.48%
No55.25%
May 6th 2026Yes58.15%
No52.63%
May 5th 2026Yes58.15%
No52.63%
May 4th 2026Yes58.15%
No52.63%
May 3rd 2026Yes57.94%
No52.63%
May 2nd 2026Yes57.94%
No52.63%
May 1st 2026Yes57.94%
No52.63%
April 30th 2026Yes57.94%
No52.63%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM77¢
+53.3vs GOP
Senate
GOP58¢
+15.7vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance17¢
+1.3vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom24¢
+12.6vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance34¢
+7.4vs Rubio
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Next General Election Conservative Leader - Kemi Badenoch