Next General Election Conservative Leader - Kemi Badenoch

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Yes
58.83%
No
51.55%
SmarketsApril 16th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
April 15th 2026Yes58.38%
No51.55%
April 14th 2026Yes58.91%
No51.55%
April 13th 2026Yes59.18%
No51.55%
April 12th 2026Yes58.82%
No51.55%
April 11th 2026Yes59.53%
No51.55%
April 10th 2026Yes59.17%
No51.55%
April 9th 2026Yes59.53%
No51.55%
April 8th 2026Yes59.53%
No51.55%
April 7th 2026Yes59.44%
No51.55%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM88¢
+71.7vs GOP
Senate
DEM54¢
+6.5vs GOP
2028Presidential
President
Vance21¢
+1.7vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom28¢
+17.3vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance40¢
+14.3vs Rubio
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Next General Election Conservative Leader - Kemi Badenoch