Latest Odds
This PredictIt market asks whether the U.S. Supreme Court will ultimately allow a January 20, 2025 executive order—titled “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship”—to go into effect without restriction. A “Yes” outcome means SCOTUS issues a ruling or order that permits the executive order to stand as written; a “No” means the Court blocks or limits it.
The executive order challenges the current interpretation of birthright citizenship, the long‑standing principle that most people born on U.S. soil are automatically U.S. citizens under the 14th Amendment. The market is essentially a wager on whether the Supreme Court will side with the administration’s attempt to narrow that interpretation.
Historical Data
| Date | Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| March 4th 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 7.00% |
| March 3rd 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 14.00% |
| March 2nd 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 13.00% |
| March 1st 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 17.00% |
| February 28th 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 18.00% |
| February 27th 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 18.00% |
| February 26th 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 18.00% |
| February 25th 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 17.00% |
| February 24th 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 17.00% |