Latest Odds
This PredictIt market asks whether the U.S. Supreme Court will ultimately allow a January 20, 2025 executive order—titled “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship”—to go into effect without restriction. A “Yes” outcome means SCOTUS issues a ruling or order that permits the executive order to stand as written; a “No” means the Court blocks or limits it.
The executive order challenges the current interpretation of birthright citizenship, the long‑standing principle that most people born on U.S. soil are automatically U.S. citizens under the 14th Amendment. The market is essentially a wager on whether the Supreme Court will side with the administration’s attempt to narrow that interpretation.
Historical Data
| Date | Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| May 8th 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 7.00% |
| May 7th 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 7.00% |
| May 6th 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 6.00% |
| May 5th 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 9.00% |
| May 4th 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 8.00% |
| May 3rd 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 8.00% |
| May 2nd 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 9.00% |
| May 1st 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 6.00% |
| April 30th 2026 | Will SCOTUS side with Trump on birthright citizenship? | 6.00% |