Donald Trump to serve as president for 9+ years by end of 2030

Smarkets

Latest Odds

No
94.36%
Yes
12.83%
SmarketsMay 9th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
May 8th 2026No94.80%
Yes12.51%
May 7th 2026No94.80%
Yes12.51%
May 6th 2026No94.80%
Yes12.51%
May 5th 2026No94.80%
Yes12.51%
May 4th 2026No94.80%
Yes12.51%
May 3rd 2026No94.80%
Yes12.51%
May 2nd 2026No94.80%
Yes12.51%
May 1st 2026No94.80%
Yes12.51%
April 30th 2026No94.80%
Yes12.51%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM77¢
+53.3vs GOP
Senate
GOP58¢
+15.7vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance17¢
+1.3vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom24¢
+12.6vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance34¢
+7.4vs Rubio
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Donald Trump to serve as president for 9+ years by end of 2030