Dem nominee in NY-12 election?

PredictIt

Latest Odds

Micah Lasher
59.00%
George Conway
21.00%
Alex Bores
14.00%
PredictItJanuary 15th 2026

Manhattan has several House seats, but currently, the focus is on New York's 12th District, represented by longtime Democrat Jerrold Nadler, who is retiring, creating an open seat for the 2026 election, attracting major contenders like George Conway and Liam Elkind, aiming to replace him in a district covering parts of the Upper West Side, Upper East Side, and Chelsea.
AI Summary

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
January 14th 2026Micah Lasher59.00%
George Conway19.00%
Alex Bores12.00%
January 13th 2026Micah Lasher58.00%
George Conway16.00%
Alex Bores12.00%
January 12th 2026Micah Lasher50.00%
George Conway26.00%
Cameron Kasky10.00%
January 11th 2026Micah Lasher50.00%
George Conway26.00%
Cameron Kasky10.00%
January 10th 2026Micah Lasher50.00%
George Conway19.00%
Cameron Kasky10.00%
January 9th 2026Micah Lasher50.00%
George Conway19.00%
Cameron Kasky10.00%
January 8th 2026Micah Lasher50.00%
George Conway19.00%
Cameron Kasky10.00%
January 7th 2026Micah Lasher50.00%
George Conway15.00%
Cameron Kasky10.00%
January 6th 2026Micah Lasher58.00%
George Conway23.00%
Cameron Kasky10.00%