Dem nominee in NY-12 election?

PredictIt

Latest Odds

Alex Bores
45.00%
Micah Lasher
38.00%
Jack Schlossberg
17.00%
PredictItMay 9th 2026

Manhattan has several House seats, but currently, the focus is on New York's 12th District, represented by longtime Democrat Jerrold Nadler, who is retiring, creating an open seat for the 2026 election, attracting major contenders like George Conway and Liam Elkind, aiming to replace him in a district covering parts of the Upper West Side, Upper East Side, and Chelsea.
AI Summary

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
May 8th 2026Alex Bores45.00%
Micah Lasher38.00%
Jack Schlossberg17.00%
May 7th 2026Alex Bores45.00%
Micah Lasher38.00%
Jack Schlossberg17.00%
May 6th 2026Alex Bores45.00%
Micah Lasher41.00%
Jack Schlossberg18.00%
May 5th 2026Micah Lasher43.00%
Alex Bores33.00%
Jack Schlossberg18.00%
May 4th 2026Micah Lasher43.00%
Alex Bores33.00%
Jack Schlossberg18.00%
May 3rd 2026Micah Lasher43.00%
Alex Bores33.00%
Jack Schlossberg20.00%
May 2nd 2026Micah Lasher43.00%
Alex Bores33.00%
Jack Schlossberg20.00%
May 1st 2026Micah Lasher43.00%
Alex Bores33.00%
Jack Schlossberg20.00%
April 30th 2026Micah Lasher60.00%
Alex Bores25.00%
Jack Schlossberg20.00%
Dem nominee in NY-12 election?