Latest Odds
Manhattan has several House seats, but currently, the focus is on New York's 12th District, represented by longtime Democrat Jerrold Nadler, who is retiring, creating an open seat for the 2026 election, attracting major contenders like George Conway and Liam Elkind, aiming to replace him in a district covering parts of the Upper West Side, Upper East Side, and Chelsea.
AI Summary
Historical Data
| Date | Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| January 14th 2026 | Micah Lasher | 59.00% |
| George Conway | 19.00% | |
| Alex Bores | 12.00% | |
| January 13th 2026 | Micah Lasher | 58.00% |
| George Conway | 16.00% | |
| Alex Bores | 12.00% | |
| January 12th 2026 | Micah Lasher | 50.00% |
| George Conway | 26.00% | |
| Cameron Kasky | 10.00% | |
| January 11th 2026 | Micah Lasher | 50.00% |
| George Conway | 26.00% | |
| Cameron Kasky | 10.00% | |
| January 10th 2026 | Micah Lasher | 50.00% |
| George Conway | 19.00% | |
| Cameron Kasky | 10.00% | |
| January 9th 2026 | Micah Lasher | 50.00% |
| George Conway | 19.00% | |
| Cameron Kasky | 10.00% | |
| January 8th 2026 | Micah Lasher | 50.00% |
| George Conway | 19.00% | |
| Cameron Kasky | 10.00% | |
| January 7th 2026 | Micah Lasher | 50.00% |
| George Conway | 15.00% | |
| Cameron Kasky | 10.00% | |
| January 6th 2026 | Micah Lasher | 58.00% |
| George Conway | 23.00% | |
| Cameron Kasky | 10.00% |