SCOTUS strikes Trump tariffs?

PredictIt

Latest Odds

Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?
79.00%
PredictItFebruary 19th 2026

Summary of the PredictIt Market: “Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?”

This market asks whether the U.S. Supreme Court will issue a ruling—by July 10, 2026 —that invalidates any of the tariffs imposed by President Trump that are under review in two specific cases:  
Learning Resources v. Trump and Trump v. V.O.S. Selections.

A “Yes” result occurs if the Court’s decision has the effect of striking down any of the challenged tariffs.  
A “No” result occurs only if the Court fully upholds all of the tariffs at issue.

The bet is essentially about how the Supreme Court will interpret presidential authority to impose tariffs and whether any part of Trump’s tariff program will be ruled unlawful.

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
February 18th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?77.00%
February 17th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?78.00%
February 16th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?78.00%
February 15th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?78.00%
February 14th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?79.00%
February 13th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?76.00%
February 12th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?78.00%
February 11th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?75.00%
February 10th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?75.00%
SCOTUS strikes Trump tariffs?