SCOTUS strikes Trump tariffs?

PredictIt

Latest Odds

Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?
79.00%
PredictItJanuary 15th 2026

Summary of the PredictIt Market: “Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?”

This market asks whether the U.S. Supreme Court will issue a ruling—by July 10, 2026 —that invalidates any of the tariffs imposed by President Trump that are under review in two specific cases:  
Learning Resources v. Trump and Trump v. V.O.S. Selections.

A “Yes” result occurs if the Court’s decision has the effect of striking down any of the challenged tariffs.  
A “No” result occurs only if the Court fully upholds all of the tariffs at issue.

The bet is essentially about how the Supreme Court will interpret presidential authority to impose tariffs and whether any part of Trump’s tariff program will be ruled unlawful.

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
January 14th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?79.00%
January 13th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?85.00%
January 12th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?77.00%
January 11th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?80.00%
January 10th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?76.00%
January 9th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?85.00%
January 8th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?85.00%
January 7th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?85.00%
January 6th 2026Will SCOTUS strike down Trump tariffs?89.00%