Next permanent leader of the Labour Party, after Keir Starmer

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Ed Miliband
30.56%
Shabana Mahmood
29.51%
Angela Rayner
28.37%
SmarketsMarch 4th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
March 3rd 2026Jeremy Corbyn40.17%
Angela Rayner28.78%
Wes Streeting26.22%
March 2nd 2026Jeremy Corbyn34.75%
Shabana Mahmood29.75%
Angela Rayner28.37%
March 1st 2026Jeremy Corbyn34.75%
Ed Miliband30.56%
Shabana Mahmood29.75%
February 28th 2026Jeremy Corbyn34.75%
Ed Miliband30.56%
Shabana Mahmood29.75%
February 27th 2026Jeremy Corbyn40.17%
Shabana Mahmood29.51%
Angela Rayner28.78%
February 26th 2026Jeremy Corbyn40.17%
Wes Streeting27.83%
Angela Rayner26.17%
February 25th 2026Jeremy Corbyn34.75%
Wes Streeting33.06%
Ed Miliband30.43%
February 24th 2026Jeremy Corbyn34.75%
Ed Miliband30.43%
Shabana Mahmood29.96%
February 23rd 2026Jeremy Corbyn49.50%
Ed Miliband30.43%
Shabana Mahmood30.07%
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Next permanent leader of the Labour Party, after Keir Starmer