Next permanent leader of the Labour Party, after Keir Starmer

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Angela Rayner
50.00%
Ed Miliband
41.67%
Ian Murray
40.47%
SmarketsApril 18th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
April 17th 2026Angela Rayner50.00%
Ed Miliband41.67%
Ian Murray40.47%
April 16th 2026Angela Rayner50.00%
Ed Miliband41.67%
Ian Murray40.47%
April 15th 2026Angela Rayner50.00%
Ed Miliband41.67%
Ian Murray40.47%
April 14th 2026Angela Rayner50.00%
Ed Miliband41.67%
Rachel Reeves41.67%
April 13th 2026Angela Rayner50.00%
Rachel Reeves50.00%
Ed Miliband41.67%
April 12th 2026Angela Rayner50.00%
Rachel Reeves50.00%
Ed Miliband41.67%
April 11th 2026Ed Miliband50.00%
Jon Trickett50.00%
Rachel Reeves50.00%
April 10th 2026Ed Miliband50.00%
Rachel Reeves50.00%
Ian Murray40.47%
April 9th 2026Ed Miliband50.00%
Rachel Reeves50.00%
Ian Murray40.47%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM87¢
+71.7vs GOP
Senate
DEM53¢
+4.5vs GOP
2028Presidential
President
Vance21¢
+1.8vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom29¢
+18.0vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance39¢
+14.6vs Rubio
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Next permanent leader of the Labour Party, after Keir Starmer