Latest Odds
CNN: Trump names Kevin Warsh as his pick to replace Jerome Powell at the Federal Reserve
Donald Trump has confirmed that he has chosen his nominee for the next Federal Reserve chair but has not yet revealed the name, keeping markets and policymakers waiting. The decision comes as Jerome Powell’s term ends in May 2026, and the shortlist reportedly includes Kevin Hassett, Kevin Warsh, and Christopher Waller.
**A formal announcement is expected before or after Trump’s trip to Davos (Jan. 19–23)
**Once named, the nominee will face Senate confirmation and immediate scrutiny over how they’ll handle inflation, growth, and political pressure
Ai Summary
Historical Data
| Date | Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| January 29th 2026 | Rick Rieder | 20.00% |
| Christopher Waller | 17.00% | |
| Kevin Warsh | 10.00% | |
| January 28th 2026 | Rick Rieder | 46.00% |
| Kevin Warsh | 30.00% | |
| Christopher Waller | 10.00% | |
| January 27th 2026 | Rick Rieder | 49.00% |
| Kevin Warsh | 29.00% | |
| Christopher Waller | 9.00% | |
| January 26th 2026 | Rick Rieder | 50.00% |
| Kevin Warsh | 29.00% | |
| Christopher Waller | 9.00% | |
| January 25th 2026 | Rick Rieder | 49.00% |
| Kevin Warsh | 28.00% | |
| Kevin Hassett | 7.00% | |
| January 24th 2026 | Rick Rieder | 48.00% |
| Kevin Warsh | 26.00% | |
| Kevin Hassett | 9.00% | |
| January 23rd 2026 | Kevin Warsh | 44.00% |
| Rick Rieder | 31.00% | |
| Kevin Hassett | 15.00% | |
| January 22nd 2026 | Kevin Warsh | 48.00% |
| Rick Rieder | 33.00% | |
| Christopher Waller | 10.00% | |
| January 21st 2026 | Kevin Warsh | 48.00% |
| Rick Rieder | 23.00% | |
| Kevin Hassett | 11.00% |