Next General Election Conservative Leader - Boris Johnson

Smarkets

Latest Odds

No
98.05%
Yes
7.41%
SmarketsMay 9th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
May 8th 2026No98.05%
Yes7.92%
May 7th 2026No98.05%
Yes8.39%
May 6th 2026No98.05%
Yes8.39%
May 5th 2026No98.05%
Yes8.39%
May 4th 2026No98.05%
Yes8.39%
May 3rd 2026No98.05%
Yes8.39%
May 2nd 2026No98.05%
Yes8.39%
May 1st 2026No98.05%
Yes8.39%
April 30th 2026No98.05%
Yes8.39%
Odds Snapshot
2026Midterms
House
DEM75¢
+49.3vs GOP
Senate
GOP57¢
+13.0vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance19¢
+1.8vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom25¢
+13.6vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance36¢
+8.6vs Rubio
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