GOP nominee in FL-06 election?

PredictIt

Latest Odds

Randy Fine
41.00%
Dan Bilzerian
12.00%
PredictItJune 10th 2026

The Republican primary for Florida’s 6th Congressional District is a high-profile contest to secure a stronghold seat. The race became an open field after Michael Waltz resigned in early 2025 to join the Trump administration as National Security Advisor. Randy Fine won the subsequent special election and is now running as the incumbent for a full term in the 2026 cycle.


Key Dates

  • Primary Election: August 18, 2026

  • Registration Deadline: July 20, 2026

  • Early Voting: August 8 – August 15, 2026

The Candidates

The field includes incumbent leadership, military veterans, and public figures:

  • Randy Fine (Incumbent): A former state representative who recently won the April 2025 special election with significant backing from Donald Trump.

  • Ernest Audino: A retired U.S. Army Brigadier General running on a platform of national defense and border security.

  • Dan Bilzerian: The venture capitalist and social media personality, who entered the race as a "wild card" candidate.

  • Charles Gambaro: A veteran and defense contractor who has shown competitive early fundraising numbers.

  • Alexandra van Cleef: A local candidate focusing on grassroots conservative issues.

The Landscape

The district remains a "Solid Republican" (R+14) stronghold. The primary is effectively the deciding race for the seat, with candidates competing to prove their "America First" credentials to a constituency that includes a high concentration of veterans and conservative retirees across Volusia, Flagler, St. Johns, and Marion counties.


Sources:

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
June 9th 2026Randy Fine41.00%
Dan Bilzerian12.00%
June 8th 2026Randy Fine41.00%
Dan Bilzerian12.00%
June 7th 2026Randy Fine41.00%
Dan Bilzerian12.00%
June 6th 2026Randy Fine41.00%
Dan Bilzerian12.00%
June 5th 2026Randy Fine41.00%
Dan Bilzerian12.00%
June 4th 2026Randy Fine41.00%
Dan Bilzerian12.00%
June 3rd 2026Randy Fine41.00%
Dan Bilzerian12.00%
June 2nd 2026Randy Fine41.00%
Dan Bilzerian12.00%
June 1st 2026Randy Fine41.00%
Dan Bilzerian12.00%