2028 Presidential Election Winner

Smarkets

Latest Odds

JD Vance
20.72%
Gavin Newsom
19.61%
Marco Rubio
14.71%
SmarketsMarch 11th 2026

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
March 10th 2026Gavin Newsom21.51%
JD Vance20.99%
Marco Rubio10.76%
March 9th 2026JD Vance23.86%
Gavin Newsom20.83%
Marco Rubio9.84%
March 8th 2026JD Vance23.86%
Gavin Newsom19.05%
Marco Rubio10.42%
March 7th 2026JD Vance23.86%
Gavin Newsom18.88%
Marco Rubio9.30%
March 6th 2026JD Vance24.18%
Gavin Newsom18.52%
Marco Rubio10.00%
March 5th 2026JD Vance23.86%
Gavin Newsom19.05%
Marco Rubio9.52%
March 4th 2026JD Vance23.86%
Gavin Newsom18.87%
Marco Rubio9.76%
March 3rd 2026JD Vance24.18%
Gavin Newsom17.27%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7.30%
March 2nd 2026JD Vance24.18%
Gavin Newsom17.86%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7.63%
📊ODDS SNAPSHOT
2026Midterms
House
DEM85¢
+65.7vs GOP
Senate
GOP54¢
+7.0vs DEM
2028Presidential
President
Vance21¢
+0.7vs Newsom
Dem Nom
Newsom30¢
+18.4vs AOC
GOP Nom
Vance38¢
+6.9vs Rubio
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