2028 Presidential Election Winner

Smarkets

Latest Odds

JD Vance28.17%
Gavin Newsom19.80%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7.33%
SmarketsNovember 30th 2025

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
November 29th 2025JD Vance28.17%
Gavin Newsom19.61%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7.33%
November 28th 2025JD Vance28.17%
Gavin Newsom20.01%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7.33%
November 27th 2025JD Vance28.17%
Gavin Newsom20.01%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7.33%
November 26th 2025JD Vance28.45%
Gavin Newsom19.61%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7.15%
November 25th 2025JD Vance28.45%
Gavin Newsom20.01%
Ted Cruz9.09%
November 24th 2025JD Vance28.17%
Gavin Newsom19.80%
Ted Cruz10.00%
November 23rd 2025JD Vance28.58%
Gavin Newsom19.42%
Ted Cruz10.00%
November 22nd 2025JD Vance28.45%
Gavin Newsom18.05%
Ted Cruz10.00%
November 21st 2025JD Vance27.79%
Gavin Newsom18.57%
Ted Cruz10.00%
House Races
Michigan CD 07DEM | 33.0%
Pennsylvania CD 10DEM | 57.0%
Maine CD 02GOP | 67.0%
Senate Races
GeorgiaDEM | 69.0%
MichiganDEM | 75.0%
MaineDEM | 65.0%
Party Winner
2026 Senate ControlGOP | 71.0%
2026 House ControlDEM | 82.6%
2028 Party WinnerDEM | 54.0%