Next permanent leader of the Labour Party, after Keir Starmer

Smarkets

Latest Odds

Yvette Cooper
60.20%
Sadiq Khan
48.81%
Bridget Phillipson
46.53%
SmarketsNovember 30th 2025

Historical Data

DateCandidateOdds
November 29th 2025Yvette Cooper60.20%
Sadiq Khan48.81%
Bridget Phillipson46.53%
November 28th 2025Yvette Cooper60.20%
Sadiq Khan48.81%
Bridget Phillipson46.53%
November 27th 2025Yvette Cooper60.20%
Sadiq Khan48.81%
Bridget Phillipson46.53%
November 26th 2025Yvette Cooper60.20%
Sadiq Khan48.81%
Bridget Phillipson46.53%
November 25th 2025Yvette Cooper41.99%
Ed Miliband33.69%
Shabana Mahmood33.35%
November 24th 2025Yvette Cooper60.20%
Sadiq Khan48.81%
Tony Blair48.81%
November 23rd 2025Yvette Cooper60.20%
Sadiq Khan48.81%
Tony Blair48.81%
November 22nd 2025Yvette Cooper60.20%
Andy Burnham57.44%
Sadiq Khan48.81%
November 21st 2025Yvette Cooper60.20%
Andy Burnham57.44%
Sadiq Khan48.81%
House Races
Michigan CD 07DEM | 33.0%
Pennsylvania CD 10DEM | 57.0%
Maine CD 02GOP | 67.0%
Senate Races
GeorgiaDEM | 69.0%
MichiganDEM | 75.0%
MaineDEM | 65.0%
Party Winner
2026 Senate ControlGOP | 71.0%
2026 House ControlDEM | 82.6%
2028 Party WinnerDEM | 54.0%